AEHR

AEHR AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

-30

Direction mix

0 bullish1 bearish

May 10, 2026

conviction

Bearish(medium)

Aehr Test Systems faces structural risks from inconsistent quarterly earnings (2/4 beats) and a $29 analyst price target implying 69.8% downside. Insider selling ($2.4M in 12 transactions) by 4 executives during April 6-20 clusters contradicts the CEO's minimal $14K purchase, signaling potential near-term share price deterioration.

-12

-26

-30

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBearish

-40

Inconsistent quarterly earnings (2/4 beats) and a $29 analyst target implying 69.8% downside despite a 30% EPS beat in Q4. Accounting quality flags (Forensic 55/100) and 96% similarity in risk factors suggest potential earnings manipulation or stale risk disclosures.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 55/100 (2 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — minor changes
Filing ChangeMda — minor changes
EarningsEPS surprise: 30.0% (est -0.07, actual -0.05)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $29
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 3 buy, 2 hold, 0 sell, 0 strong sell

Insider AgentBearish

-78

Overwhelming insider selling ($2.4M in 12 transactions) vs minimal buying ($7K), with 4 executives selling in concert during Apr 6-20 clusters. CEO's $14K purchase is insufficient to offset coordinated divestment.

Sources

Insider TradeSALAMONE ALBERTO tax 204 shares
Insider TradeENGINEER ADIL tax 143 shares
Insider TradeSPORCK ALISTAIR N sell 2000 shares
Insider TradePOSEDEL RHEA J sell 17115 shares
Insider TradeROGERS VERNON sell 6486 shares
Insider TradeSCOTT GEOFFREY GATES sell 10000 shares
Insider TradeROGERS VERNON sell 5000 shares
Insider TradePOSEDEL RHEA J sell 7500 shares
Insider TradeROGERS VERNON sell 2431 shares
Insider TradeRICHMOND DONALD P. II sell 17011 shares
Insider TradeWIMMERS DIDIER sell 3500 shares
Insider TradeROGERS VERNON tax 503 shares
Insider TradeRICHMOND DONALD P. II tax 423 shares
Insider TradeSPORCK ALISTAIR N sell 2000 shares
Insider TradeENGINEER ADIL sell 2528 shares
Insider TradeDANESH FARIBA sell 3500 shares
Insider TradeErickson Gayn buy 2131 shares

Institutional AgentBullish

+20

One institution (NISA) added a new position in AEHR during 2026-Q1 with +2982 shares, but the 0.0% value change and $0M total holdings suggest minimal conviction. Institutional activity lacks consistency and breadth.

Sources

13F HoldingNISA INVESTMENT ADVISORS, LLC (CIK 0000937615): 2982 shares ($110K) +2982 [NEW]

Options AgentNeutral

+14

Options flow analysis: IV at 92.3% percentile (52-week). P/C ratio: 0.28. Detected unusual volume activity (volume > 3x open interest).

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 92.3% percentile, IV/HV ratio 1.00

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Not tradable yet

The policy evidence is too sector-level and does not tie cleanly enough to this company.

Policy linkage: sector-only evidenceMechanism quality: absentPolicy evidence excluded from conviction

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.