AMT

AMT AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+64

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 10, 2026

conviction

Bullish(high)

Strong institutional buying ($1.166B QoQ inflow) and fundamentals (13.6% EPS beat, $1.4B OCF) support a 28.2% analyst-target upside. Clean accounting and sustained institutional bullishness (5 consecutive quarters) reinforce conviction despite short-term OCF volatility.

+64

+63

+64

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBullish

+55

Strong YoY OCF growth (+8.2% to $1.4B) and 13.6% EPS beat offset by sharp QoQ OCF drop (-74.4%). Analysts target 28.2% upside with 20B/4H/0S split. Clean accounting with 100/100 forensic score.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — significant changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — significant changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — moderate changes
Filing ChangeMda — significant changes
Filing ChangeBusiness — significant changes
EarningsEPS beat: $1.84 vs $1.62 est (+13.6%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $226
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 1 strong buy, 19 buy, 4 hold, 0 sell, 0 strong sell

Institutional AgentBullish

+95

Institutions added $1.166B in AMT positions QoQ (+909,877% increase), with 93 institutions now holding shares. Five consecutive quarters of bullish trends, including new entries from high-quality institutions like CalPERS ($161M) and Fisher Asset ($299M).

Sources

13F HoldingFisher Asset Management, LLC (CIK 0000850529): 1736413 shares ($299670K) +1736413 [NEW]
13F HoldingLORING WOLCOTT & COOLIDGE FIDUCIARY ADVISORS LLP/MA (CIK 0000932974): 1212463 shares ($217382K) +1212463 [NEW]
13F HoldingCALIFORNIA PUBLIC EMPLOYEES RETIREMENT SYSTEM (CIK 0000919079): 938126 shares ($161901K) +938126 [NEW]
13F HoldingDUFF & PHELPS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO (CIK 0000765443): 765517 shares ($132112K) +765517 [NEW]
13F HoldingLansforsakringar Fondforvaltning AB (publ) (CIK 0002059323): 407551 shares ($70334K) +407551 [NEW]

Options AgentBearish

-68

Bearish positioning dominates with 3.71 put/call volume ratio and $252M net bearish sweep flow in 48h. Elevated put volume (2888 vs 779 calls) and 18-day +181K put OI expansion indicate hedging pressure. IV30D (27.1%) exceeds HV30D (22.7%) despite 52W percentile at 20%, suggesting underpriced volatility risks.

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 20.0% percentile, IV/HV ratio 1.20

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Expression status: tradable

This signal passed the expression gate and has a trade plan attached.

Policy linkage: sector-only evidenceMechanism quality: vaguePolicy evidence excluded from conviction

Trade Plan

Live Return

$178.82+1.3%

Entry: $176.53 · 3d elapsed / 30d horizon

Tracking

Entry Zone

In entry zone

$170.00

$180.00

Valid until Jun 10, 2026

Price Targets (30-day)

Bull

$220.00+23.0%

28.2% analyst-target upside aligned with institutional buying patterns

Base

$200.00+11.8%

Mean reversion to 52-week high of $211.63

Bear

$160.00-10.5%

Breaks below 50-day SMA ($162.44) would invalidate thesis

Stop Loss

$160.00

-10.5%

Position Size

2-3%

of portfolio

Risk/Reward

1.7x

base target

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.