APP

APP AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+61

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 11, 2026

conviction

Bullish(high)

Applovin Corp demonstrates robust YoY growth in net income (+109.2%), operating cash flow (+55.3%), and operating income (+117.0%), supported by institutional buying of $1.17B from major funds. Despite QoQ declines (-63.8% to -67.5%) and 43% risk factor overlap, 7/7 consecutive bullish institutional quarters and a $689 analyst price target (47.1% upside) justify conviction.

+35

+54

+61

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBullish

+45

APP shows strong YoY growth in net income (+109.2%), operating cash flow (+55.3%), and operating income (+117.0%), but QoQ declines (-63.8% to -67.5%) indicate seasonal/quarterly volatility. Analysts target $689 (47.1% upside) with 18B/2H consensus. Risks include QoQ deterioration and 43% similarity in risk factors.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 90/100 (1 flags)
Filing ChangeMda — moderate changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — moderate changes
Filing ChangeBusiness — significant changes
EarningsEPS beat: $3.56 vs $3.43 est (+3.6%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $689
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 18 buy, 2 hold, 0 sell, 0 strong sell

Institutional AgentBullish

+72

Institutions added 56 new holders while maintaining 7/7 consecutive bullish quarters, with JENNISON, CalPERS, and AustralianSuper collectively committing $1.17B in new positions. The 4 large increases (>25%) indicate conviction despite 32.4% QOQ value reduction from existing holders.

Sources

13F HoldingGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC (GS, GSCE, GS-PA, GS-PC, GS-PD) (CIK 0000886982): 2097345 shares ($1413232K) +2097345 [NEW]
13F HoldingJENNISON ASSOCIATES LLC (CIK 0000053417): 2255711 shares ($897773K) +2255711 [NEW]
13F HoldingBARCLAYS PLC (BCS, BCLYF) (CIK 0000312069): 777175 shares ($558431K) +777175 [NEW]
13F HoldingGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC (GS, GSCE, GS-PA, GS-PC, GS-PD) (CIK 0000886982): 523500 shares ($352744K) +523500 [NEW]
13F HoldingPEAK6 LLC (CIK 0001389958): 383800 shares ($275775K) +340390

Options AgentNeutral

+10

Options flow analysis: IV at 27.6% percentile (52-week). P/C ratio: 0.42. Detected unusual volume activity (volume > 3x open interest). ATM mispricing detected (call: 0.9%, put: 20.8%).

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 27.6% percentile, IV/HV ratio 1.15

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Expression status: tradable

This signal passed the expression gate and has a trade plan attached.

Policy linkage: sector-only evidenceMechanism quality: absentPolicy evidence excluded from conviction

Trade Plan

Live Return

$478.42+2.1%

Entry: $468.55 · 1d elapsed / 180d horizon

Tracking

Entry Zone

In entry zone

$450.00

$480.00

Valid until Aug 11, 2026

Price Targets (180-day)

Bull

$689.00+44.0%

Analyst consensus target of $689 (47.1% upside)

Base

$550.00+15.0%

Conservative estimate of 18% earnings multiple expansion

Bear

$420.00-12.2%

15% pullback from entry zone to test support

Stop Loss

$420.00

-12.2%

Position Size

3-5%

of portfolio

Risk/Reward

1.9x

base target

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.