AVTR

AVTR AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

-60

Direction mix

0 bullish1 bearish

May 11, 2026

conviction

Bearish(high)

Avantor's operational deterioration is evident in -76.6% QoQ gross profit decline and -90.6% QoQ operating cash flow drop, while valuation remains extended. Options activity shows hedging via 5.1x put OI skew rather than aggressive shorting, suggesting institutional caution without extreme positioning.

-22

-46

-60

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBearish

-65

Gross profit ($501M) declined -76.6% QoQ and -6.4% YoY while operating cash flow ($59M) fell -90.6% QoQ and -46.3% YoY, indicating severe operational deterioration. Valuation appears extended despite weak fundamentals.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — major revision
Filing ChangeMda — minor changes
EarningsEPS beat: $0.06 vs $0.16 est (+6.2%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $17
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 9 buy, 13 hold, 2 sell, 0 strong sell

Options AgentNeutral

+15

Balanced put/call volume but massive put OI skew (5.1x ratio) suggests hedging over directional bias. Elevated IV/HV (1.82) implies volatility premium buying, while neutral skew and 66.7% IV percentile indicate moderate fear but no extreme positioning. Recent $7.2K bear

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 66.7% percentile, IV/HV ratio 1.82

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The system did not produce a valid trade setup for this signal.

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.