AXP

AXP AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+43

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 6, 2026

conviction

Bullish(medium)

Institutional accumulation by 161 institutions over two quarters and 15% YoY net income growth support a bullish thesis, despite QoQ net income and cash flow declines. The $330 analyst target (4.5% upside) and strong institutional confidence justify a higher conviction for medium-term outperformance.

+24

+40

+43

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentNeutral

+15

AXP shows 15% YoY net income growth and 3/4 EPS beats, but QoQ declines of 72.6% net income and 79.4% operating cash flow signal near-term stress. Valuation is neutral with a $330 analyst target (4.5% above price).

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — minor changes
Filing ChangeMda — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — significant changes
EarningsEPS beat: $4.28 vs $4.06 est (+5.3%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $330
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 8 buy, 15 hold, 2 sell, 0 strong sell

Institutional AgentBullish

+53

Institutional accumulation detected: 161 institutions tracked across 2 quarters. 199 new positions initiated.

Sources

13F HoldingFisher Asset Management, LLC (CIK 0000850529): 9250373 shares ($2798052K) +9250373 [NEW]
13F HoldingGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC (GS, GSCE, GS-PA, GS-PC, GS-PD) (CIK 0000886982): 3720247 shares ($1376305K) +3720247 [NEW]
13F HoldingHSBC HOLDINGS PLC (CIK 0000873630): 1091728 shares ($403884K) +1091728 [NEW]
13F HoldingGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC (GS, GSCE, GS-PA, GS-PC, GS-PD) (CIK 0000886982): 862444 shares ($319061K) +862444 [NEW]
13F HoldingHSBC HOLDINGS PLC (CIK 0000873630): 314860 shares ($117047K) +314860 [NEW]

Options AgentNeutral

-8

Options flow analysis: IV at 6.7% percentile (52-week). P/C ratio: 0.95. Detected unusual volume activity (volume > 3x open interest). ATM mispricing detected (call: 7.2%, put: 12.4%).

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 6.7% percentile, IV/HV ratio 1.10

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.