COHR

COHR AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

-35

Direction mix

0 bullish1 bearish

May 11, 2026

conviction

Bearish(medium)

Severe operating cash flow contraction (-98% YoY, -90.3% QoQ) signals acute liquidity stress, compounded by insider selling ($702K by CFO Sherri R Luther) and analyst price targets implying 26.2% downside. Institutional accumulation by high-quality funds offsets near-term bearishness but fails to address underlying cash flow deterioration or bearish options positioning.

-40

-35

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBearish

-70

Severe operating cash flow contraction (-98% YoY, -90.3% QoQ) indicates critical liquidity stress despite 3/4 quarters beating estimates. Analyst target ($248) implies 26.2% downside.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
EarningsEPS miss: $1.01 vs $1.43 est (-1.1%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $248
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 1 strong buy, 16 buy, 3 hold, 0 sell, 0 strong sell

Insider AgentBearish

-60

Insiders executed 0 buys vs 1 sell ($279K total) in 90 days, with CFO Luther Sherri R selling $702K (2,000 shares) on Apr 24, 2026 (future-dated filing raises data quality concerns). No insider purchases indicate lack of near-term confidence.

Sources

Insider TradeLuther Sherri R sell 2000 shares

Institutional AgentBullish

+60

Institutions added 49 new holders in Q1-2026 despite 28.9% value decline, with top new positions from high-quality institutions (Artemis +$120M, Fisher +$81M, CalPERS +$51M). The 8-quarter all-bullish trend and 4 large (>25%) accumulation moves outweigh the value contraction.

Sources

13F HoldingGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC (GS, GSCE, GS-PA, GS-PC, GS-PD) (CIK 0000886982): 1860876 shares ($343461K) +1860876 [NEW]
13F HoldingArtemis Investment Management LLP (CIK 0001535385): 507794 shares ($120961K) +507794 [NEW]
13F HoldingFisher Asset Management, LLC (CIK 0000850529): 340272 shares ($81056K) +340272 [NEW]
13F HoldingPEAK6 LLC (CIK 0001389958): 384300 shares ($70930K) +384300 [NEW]
13F HoldingGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC (GS, GSCE, GS-PA, GS-PC, GS-PD) (CIK 0000886982): 366066 shares ($67564K) +366066 [NEW]

Options AgentBearish

-65

High IV30D (93.5%) suggests volatility premium is expensive, but net bearish $148.68M in sweeps over 48h indicates aggressive near-term shorting. Equal ATM IV (82%) with no skew shows volatility is directionally neutral but bearish positioning dominates via 15x larger bearish sweep volume vs. bullish. OI trend +1.063M over 21d implies accumulation has paused, allowing short-term volatility to dominate.

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 67.5% percentile, IV/HV ratio 1.44

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Trade Plan

Live Return

$379.69+13.3%

Entry: $335.26 · 1d elapsed / 90d horizon

Tracking

Entry Zone

Above entry

$325.00

$345.00

Valid until Jun 15, 2026

Price Targets (90-day)

Bull

$345.00-9.1%

Consolidation near current price ahead of earnings

Base

$248.00-34.7%

Analyst price target reflects 26.2% downside

Bear

$200.00-47.3%

Break below key support of 2026 Q1 lows

Stop Loss

$355.00

-6.5%

Position Size

1-2%

of portfolio

Risk/Reward

4.3x

base target

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.