COP

COP AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+28

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 8, 2026

conviction

Bullish(low)

Strong institutional buying ($2.9B in new inflows) and consistent earnings outperformance (13.2% EPS beat) support a bullish case, despite regulatory headwinds. Analysts project 8.5% upside to $125, with 16B/7H/1S consensus. Compliance costs and renewable mandates pose risks, but institutional confidence suggests near-term resilience.

+45

+48

+28

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentNeutral

+25

Mixed signals: Operating cash flow declined sharply YoY (-29.8%) and QoQ (-78.3%), but EPS beat 13.2% with 3/4 quarters beating estimates. Analysts target $125 (8.5% upside) with 16B/7H/1S consensus.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
Filing ChangeMda — moderate changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — moderate changes
Filing ChangeBusiness — significant changes
EarningsEPS beat: $1.89 vs $1.67 est (+13.2%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $125
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 16 buy, 7 hold, 1 sell, 0 strong sell

Institutional AgentBullish

+80

Institutions added $2.9B in COP holdings (105.4% QoQ value increase) with 134 new institutions entering positions. Fisher Asset Management alone added $2.01B in a new position, signaling strong conviction despite flat share percentages (likely due to stock price appreciation). Consistent accumulation across 2 quarters with no bearish signals.

Sources

13F HoldingFisher Asset Management, LLC (CIK 0000850529): 15217736 shares ($2008741K) +15217736 [NEW]
13F HoldingGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC (GS, GSCE, GS-PA, GS-PC, GS-PD) (CIK 0000886982): 5875747 shares ($550028K) +5875747 [NEW]
13F HoldingGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC (GS, GSCE, GS-PA, GS-PC, GS-PD) (CIK 0000886982): 3561195 shares ($333363K) +3561195 [NEW]
13F HoldingHSBC HOLDINGS PLC (CIK 0000873630): 2080691 shares ($194773K) +2080691 [NEW]
13F HoldingGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC (GS, GSCE, GS-PA, GS-PC, GS-PD) (CIK 0000886982): 947700 shares ($88714K) +947700 [NEW]

Options AgentBullish

+18

Options flow analysis: IV at 20.5% percentile (52-week). P/C ratio: 0.13. Detected unusual volume activity (volume > 3x open interest).

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 20.5% percentile, IV/HV ratio 0.84

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No trade plan available

The system did not produce a valid trade setup for this signal.

Policy linkage: inferred company relevanceMechanism quality: specific

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.