DECK

DECK AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+71

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 11, 2026

conviction

Bullish(high)

Deckers Outdoor has delivered 4 consecutive EPS beats, including an 18.1% last quarter, with a $129 analyst target (32.6% upside) supported by strong 13B/10H sentiment. Institutional flows show limited conviction despite new capital inflows, while high implied volatility suggests market uncertainty around entry points.

+50

+59

+71

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBullish

+65

DECK has beaten EPS estimates for 4 consecutive quarters (last at 18.1%) and faces a $129 analyst target 32.6% above current price. 13B/10H analyst sentiment suggests strong conviction, though 68% financial_notes similarity indicates moderate disclosure changes vs prior periods.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
Filing ChangeMda — minor changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — minor changes
Filing ChangeBusiness — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
EarningsEPS beat: $3.33 vs $2.82 est (+18.1%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $129
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 1 strong buy, 12 buy, 10 hold, 3 sell, 0 strong sell

Institutional AgentNeutral

+20

Institutions added $4M in new positions (CX Institutional) but showed no percentage change in shares, suggesting lack of conviction. AdvisorNet's $0M position adds negligible weight. Limited data prevents trend analysis.

Sources

13F HoldingCX Institutional (CIK 0001737089): 46549 shares ($4659K) +46549 [NEW]
13F HoldingAdvisorNet Financial, Inc (CIK 0001409362): 14 shares ($1K) +14 [NEW]

Options AgentNeutral

-4

Options flow analysis: IV at 95.2% percentile (52-week). P/C ratio: 0.95. Detected unusual volume activity (volume > 3x open interest). ATM mispricing detected (call: 44.4%, put: 39.3%).

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 95.2% percentile, IV/HV ratio 1.48

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Expression status: tradable

This signal passed the expression gate and has a trade plan attached.

Policy linkage: direct company evidenceMechanism quality: vaguePolicy evidence excluded from conviction

Trade Plan

Live Return

$94.89-2.2%

Entry: $97.00 · 1d elapsed / 180d horizon

Tracking

Entry Zone

Below entry

$95.00

$99.00

Valid until Aug 11, 2026

Price Targets (180-day)

Bull

$129.00+35.9%

Analyst consensus price target with 32.6% upside potential

Base

$115.00+21.2%

Conservative estimate of 18.5% appreciation from current price

Bear

$85.00-10.4%

Considers downside from options volatility unwind and potential policy headwinds

Stop Loss

$90.00

-5.2%

Position Size

2-3%

of portfolio

Risk/Reward

2.6x

base target

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.