DECK

DECK AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data

1signals

avg conviction+8

0/0

Mar 25, 2026

conviction

Neutral(low)

DECK demonstrates genuine earnings momentum with an 18.1% EPS beat and four consecutive beat quarters, supported by 9% YoY gross profit growth to $2.5B. However, the 87.3% QoQ gross profit jump likely reflects seasonal patterns rather than structural margin expansion, warranting caution on near-term extrapolation. Options flow is meaningfully bearish with a put/call ratio of 1.66 and 15 bearish sweeps versus 5 bullish over 48 hours, suggesting smart money is hedging or positioning for downside. With only two of five analyst signals populated and low baseline conviction, position sizing should remain minimal until additional confirmation emerges.

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBullish

+22

DECK shows genuine earnings momentum with a 18.1% EPS beat and four consecutive beat quarters, alongside 9% YoY gross profit growth to $2.5B; however, the extraordinary 87.3% QoQ gross profit jump warrants scrutiny for seasonality effects rather than structural improvement, and clean forensic accounting at 100/100 is the baseline expectation, not a differentiator.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — significant changes
Filing ChangeMda — moderate changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — minor changes
Filing ChangeBusiness — significant changes
Filing ChangeMda — moderate changes
EarningsEPS beat: $3.33 vs $2.82 est (+18.1%)
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 8 strong buy, 11 buy, 11 hold, 2 sell, 1 strong sell

Options AgentBearish

-18

Options flow leans bearish with put/call volume ratio of 1.66 (6,573 puts vs 3,956 calls) and net bearish sweep flow of $37K over 48 hours dominated by 15 bearish sweeps vs 5 bullish; however, the IV30D at 40.4% sits at only the 22nd percentile of its 52-week range, limiting conviction in directional reads from elevated premium alone.

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 22.2% percentile, IV/HV ratio 1.49

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Trade Plan

Live Return

$94.05-6.1%

Entry: $100.21 · 2d elapsed / 180d horizon

Tracking

Entry Zone

Below entry

$97.50

$101.50

Valid until Apr 8, 2026

Price Targets (180-day)

Bull

$118.00+25.5%

Continued EPS beat cadence and brand momentum drive re-rating toward prior highs

Base

$110.00+17.0%

Fundamental earnings strength sustains modest upside as seasonal gross profit normalizes

Bear

$88.00-6.4%

Bearish options positioning materializes and consumer spending weakness pressures revenue guidance

Stop Loss

$93.00

-1.1%

Position Size

1-2%

of portfolio

Risk/Reward

1.3x

base target

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.