DIS

DIS AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+28

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 11, 2026

conviction

Bullish(low)

Disney's sequential cash flow recovery (+940.7% OCF QoQ) and 19% analyst price target upside align with near-term options-driven momentum (4.1M in call sweeps). However, the Media Bureau's sports broadcasting review poses a $4.2B/year risk to ESPN/MLB over 6-12 months, creating a near-term contrarian setup for bulls who price in regulatory uncertainty.

+64

+47

+28

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentNeutral

+15

Sequential metrics (QoQ +940.7% OCF, +100.1% OI) show strong recovery, but YoY declines (-23.2% OCF, -20.2% NI) persist. Analysts target 19% upside despite 0% guidance hit rate and deteriorating management tone (sentiment 0.65 vs 0.85 prior).

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeMda — moderate changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeMda — moderate changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
EarningsEPS beat: $1.57 vs $1.50 est (+4.4%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $128
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 21 buy, 3 hold, 0 sell, 0 strong sell
Call TranscriptEarnings call sentiment: 0.75, deflections: 2
CredibilityManagement credibility: 0/100

Institutional AgentBullish

+20

Two institutions added new positions in Q1 2026, but total value remains $0M with 0.0% percentage changes, indicating minimal conviction. Accumulation is occurring, but scale is negligible.

Sources

13F HoldingMiller Global Investments, LLC (CIK 0002099097): 3953 shares ($380K) +3953 [NEW]
13F HoldingLVM CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LTD/MI (CIK 0001053054): 2216 shares ($214K) +2216 [NEW]

Options AgentBullish

+55

Bullish short-term momentum from $4.1M in call sweeps vs $416K in put sweeps, with IV30D at 25.6% (52W percentile 14.3%) suggesting potential for expansion. ATM options are mispriced by -9.8% to -14.3%, creating near-term directional opportunities.

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 14.3% percentile, IV/HV ratio 0.88

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No trade plan available

The system did not produce a valid trade setup for this signal.

Policy linkage: direct company evidenceMechanism quality: specific

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.