DOCU

DOCU AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+79

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 6, 2026

conviction

Bullish(high)

DocuSign demonstrates consistent earnings outperformance (4.6% latest beat) and institutional accumulation despite QoQ valuation declines, suggesting durable demand for its digital transaction platform. A $71 price target (47.3% upside) from analysts and contrarian buying by high-quality institutions like State of Michigan indicate conviction in long-term contract value. Clean forensic accounting and stable disclosures further support operational reliability.

+60

+73

+79

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBullish

+75

Consistent 4Q EPS beats with 4.6% latest outperformance, 5B/15H/1S analyst rating, and $71 price target (47.3% upside) suggest strong near-term momentum. Clean forensic accounting and 63% financial note similarity indicate stable disclosures.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — significant changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
Filing ChangeMda — moderate changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — moderate changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
EarningsEPS beat: $1.01 vs $0.97 est (+4.6%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $71
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 5 buy, 15 hold, 1 sell, 0 strong sell

Institutional AgentBullish

+75

Institutions added 12 new holders in Q1-2026 while maintaining 8/8 quarters of consistent accumulation. Three high-quality institutions (State of Michigan, Chicago Partners) established new positions with share increases despite a 94.7% QoQ value decline, suggesting contrarian buying at discounted prices.

Sources

13F HoldingGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC (GS, GSCE, GS-PA, GS-PC, GS-PD) (CIK 0000886982): 1031860 shares ($70579K) +1031860 [NEW]
13F HoldingBARCLAYS PLC (BCS, BCLYF) (CIK 0000312069): 392159 shares ($35270K) +392159 [NEW]
13F HoldingHSBC HOLDINGS PLC (CIK 0000873630): 386322 shares ($26424K) +386322 [NEW]
13F HoldingPEAK6 LLC (CIK 0001389958): 342200 shares ($24669K) +303010
13F HoldingDANSKE BANK A/S (CIK 0000800177): 385815 shares ($23955K) +385815 [NEW]

Options AgentBearish

-20

Elevated IV30D (66.5%) at 83rd percentile suggests volatility premium inflation without clear directional bias. Higher put OI (51,791 vs 40,9

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 83.3% percentile, IV/HV ratio 1.46

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Expression status: tradable

This signal passed the expression gate and has a trade plan attached.

Policy linkage: sector-only evidenceMechanism quality: vaguePolicy evidence excluded from conviction

Trade Plan

Live Return

$45.49-6.0%

Entry: $48.38 · 6d elapsed / 180d horizon

Tracking

Entry Zone

Below entry

$47.00

$49.00

Valid until Jun 6, 2026

Price Targets (180-day)

Bull

$71.00+56.1%

Analyst price target aligned with 47.3% upside potential

Base

$60.00+31.9%

Midpoint between current price and analyst target reflecting conservative growth

Bear

$45.00-1.1%

Break-even level for institutional buyers during Q1 selloff

Stop Loss

$45.00

-1.1%

Position Size

3-5%

of portfolio

Risk/Reward

4.0x

base target

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.