ED AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+15

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 11, 2026

conviction

Bullish(low)

Options data indicates strong short-term bullish positioning with 9.6x call/put volume and IV at the 14th percentile of its 52-week range, suggesting potential for volatility expansion. While fundamentals show an EPS miss (-7.4%) and analyst target ($102) below current price, the options market is pricing in a near-term catalyst-driven move above $106.31. Regulatory headwinds from compliance costs are offset by the aggressive call skew and open interest.

+25

+20

+15

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBearish

-40

Recent EPS miss (-7.4%) and analyst target ($102, -3.6% vs price) suggest overvaluation and earnings inconsistency. Mixed quarterly performance (2/4 beats) raises execution risks.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
EarningsEPS miss: $2.17 vs $2.34 est (-7.4%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $102
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 3 buy, 12 hold, 9 sell, 0 strong sell

Institutional AgentBullish

+10

One institution (Ironwood) added a new position of 2,284 shares in Q1 2026, but the $0M value and 0.0% ownership change suggest negligible conviction. No prior quarters are referenced to confirm trend consistency.

Sources

13F HoldingIronwood Investment Counsel, LLC (CIK 0001330463): 2284 shares ($258K) +2284 [NEW]

Options AgentBullish

+65

Bullish positioning dominates with 9.6x more call volume than puts (656 calls vs. 67 puts) and 1.65x higher call open interest (9,615 vs. 5,803). Implied volatility (18.4%) exceeds historical volatility (16.1%) while remaining at just the 14th percentile of its 52-week range, suggesting potential for IV expansion. Neutral skew and no ATM mispricing indicate

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 14.3% percentile, IV/HV ratio 1.14

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Not tradable yet

The policy evidence is too sector-level and does not tie cleanly enough to this company.

Policy linkage: sector-only evidenceMechanism quality: specificPolicy evidence excluded from conviction

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.