HOOD

HOOD AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

Direction mix

0 bullish0 bearish

May 10, 2026

conviction

Neutral(low)

Institutional accumulation over 5 consecutive quarters and bullish options positioning (0.41 put/call ratio, $249.8M in bullish sweeps) suggest near-term capital inflows. Despite QoQ net income collapse (-81.4%) and management guidance inaccuracies, operating cash flow surged 217.4% YoY to $2.0B. Analysts' $108 price target (40.5% upside) aligns with institutional buying but remains vulnerable to earnings volatility.

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBearish

-45

Strong QoQ revenue growth (207.9%) and operating cash flow ($2.0B, +217.4% YoY) indicate robust business momentum. However, QoQ net income collapse (-81.4%) and EPS miss highlight earnings volatility. Analysts' $108 target (40.5% upside) is stretched given management's 0% guidance accuracy and wide $2.7B-$2.825B revenue range. Management tone shifted from 0.85 to 0.65, signaling deteriorating confidence.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — moderate changes
Filing ChangeMda — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
AI AnalysisLLM analysis: escalating, tone shift 7.8
EarningsEPS miss: $0.38 vs $0.43 est (-12.5%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $108
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 22 buy, 6 hold, 1 sell, 0 strong sell
Call TranscriptEarnings call sentiment: 0.75, deflections: 2
CredibilityManagement credibility: 0/100

Insider AgentBearish

-70

Sources

Insider TradePinner Jeffrey Tsvi sell 4435 shares
Insider TradeVerma Shiv sell 600 shares
Insider TradeGallagher Daniel Martin Jr sell 5403 shares
Insider TradePinner Jeffrey Tsvi sell 3035 shares
Insider TradeBhatt Baiju award 180 shares

Institutional AgentBullish

+58

Institutional accumulation detected: 5 institutions tracked across 5 quarters. 10 new positions initiated. Institutional accumulation streak: 5 consecutive quarters.

Sources

13F HoldingDANSKE BANK A/S (CIK 0000800177): 152184 shares ($5670K) +152184 [NEW]
13F HoldingDANSKE BANK A/S (CIK 0000800177): 144184 shares ($3376K) +144184 [NEW]
13F HoldingDANSKE BANK A/S (CIK 0000800177): 128584 shares ($2920K) +128584 [NEW]
13F HoldingNISA INVESTMENT ADVISORS, LLC (CIK 0000937615): 35283 shares ($2445K) +35283 [NEW]
13F HoldingOSLO PENSJONSFORSIKRING AS (CIK 0001828808): 3008 shares ($208K) +3008 [NEW]

Options AgentBullish

+45

Bullish positioning dominates with 0.41 put/call volume ratio, $249.8M in bullish sweeps, and 9268K OI expansion over 20 days. ATM calls are mispriced -21.1% vs. puts at -10.4%, suggesting near-term call demand. IV30 (59.8%) is 20% below HV30 (74.3%), indicating potential for IV expansion.

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 24.0% percentile, IV/HV ratio 0.81

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Trade Plan

Live Return

$80.78+4.9%

Entry: $77.03 · 3d elapsed / 30d horizon

Tracking

Entry Zone

Above entry

$75.00

$79.00

Valid until Jun 10, 2026

Price Targets (30-day)

Bull

$108.00+33.7%

Analysts' $108 target aligns with institutional buying

Base

$90.00+11.4%

Midpoint between current price and analyst target with 15% buffer

Bear

$70.00-13.3%

Below 20-day support level and institutional cost basis

Stop Loss

$70.00

-13.3%

Position Size

2-3%

of portfolio

Risk/Reward

1.9x

base target

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.