IBM

IBM AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+41

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 11, 2026

conviction

Bullish(medium)

IBM's fundamentals show 11.4% YoY gross profit growth ($8.9B) and 4/

+39

+40

+41

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBullish

+35

IBM shows strong YoY gross profit growth (11.4% to $8.9B) and 4/4 quarters of EPS beats, but QoQ gross profit collapsed 77.2%. Analysts target 19.1% upside to $274. Risks include the sharp quarterly profit decline and management tone shifting from growth-focused to defensive.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeBusiness — moderate changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeMda — moderate changes
Filing ChangeLegal Proceedings — moderate changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — moderate changes
AI AnalysisLLM analysis: escalating, tone shift -5.2
EarningsEPS beat: $1.91 vs $1.82 est (+4.7%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $274
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 10 buy, 7 hold, 1 sell, 0 strong sell

Institutional AgentBullish

+50

Institutions added $11M in Q1-2026 (+10.8% QoQ) with 3 new entrants including $4M+ positions from HALL LAURIE J TRUSTEE and DB&C Advisors. Two consecutive bullish quarters show consistent accumulation despite flat percentage ownership changes.

Sources

13F HoldingFarmers National Bank (CIK 0001632966): 24831 shares ($7355K) +24831 [NEW]
13F HoldingHALL LAURIE J TRUSTEE (CIK 0001388382): 20158 shares ($4886K) +20158 [NEW]
13F HoldingDB&C Advisors, LLC (CIK 0002107377): 17899 shares ($4338K) +17899 [NEW]
13F HoldingBank of New Hampshire (CIK 0001870761): 10523 shares ($3117K) +10523 [NEW]
13F HoldingHALL LAURIE J TRUSTEE (CIK 0001388382): 4933 shares ($1195K) +4933 [NEW]

Options AgentBullish

+55

Bullish sweeps ($93

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 52.4% percentile, IV/HV ratio 0.90

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No trade plan available

The system did not produce a valid trade setup for this signal.

Policy linkage: inferred company relevanceMechanism quality: specific

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.