ICE

ICE AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data

1signals

avg conviction+11

0/0

Mar 27, 2026

conviction

Neutral(low)

ICE delivered a modest 1.2% EPS beat with gross profit growing 11.8% QoQ to $4.4B, supported by clean forensic accounting and $4.7B in operating cash flow, though the 1.1% YoY OCF growth signals limited near-term earnings acceleration. Options flow shows a call-heavy put/call ratio of 0.63 with a negative IV spread of -5.48%, reflecting mild upside positioning, but IV running below realized volatility at a 0.90 ratio suggests the market is not anticipating a significant catalyst. The setup is modestly constructive but lacks a strong directional catalyst to justify high conviction. Investors should treat this as a stable, low-volatility compounder rather than an aggressive opportunity.

+11

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBullish

ICE shows solid but unspectacular fundamentals: a modest 1.2% EPS beat with 3 of 4 quarters beating consensus, gross profit growth of 11.8% QoQ to $4.4B, and operating cash flow of $4.7B up only 1.1% YoY suggesting limited near-term earnings acceleration. Forensic accounting is clean at 100/100 with no flags, and low MDA similarity (49%) warrants monitoring but is not alarming.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeMda — moderate changes
Filing ChangeLegal Proceedings — significant changes
EarningsEPS beat: $1.71 vs $1.69 est (+1.2%)
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 5 strong buy, 12 buy, 4 hold, 0 sell, 0 strong sell

Options AgentBullish

+12

Options flow shows a moderately bullish tilt driven by a call-heavy put/call volume ratio of 0.63 (1,512 calls vs. 948 puts) and a pronounced negative put-call IV spread of -5.48%, indicating elevated demand for upside exposure; however, the 20 bearish sweeps totaling $16K in the past 48 hours and IV30D of 28.6% running below HV30D of 31.7% (IV/HV ratio 0.90) suggest the market is not pricing in a significant directional move.

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 55.6% percentile, IV/HV ratio 0.90

Unlock agent-level analysis

See exactly what each AI agent found — forensic accounting flags, insider clusters, institutional shifts, and more.

Get started View pricing

Trade Plan

Live Return

$152.67-2.7%

Entry: $156.83 · 1d elapsed / 180d horizon

Tracking

Entry Zone

Below entry

$154.50

$158.00

Valid until Apr 10, 2026

Price Targets (180-day)

Bull

$172.00+12.7%

Acceleration in gross profit growth sustains re-rating toward 28x forward earnings on improving exchange and mortgage technology volumes.

Base

$164.00+7.4%

Stable compounder trajectory with mid-single-digit earnings growth supports a modest drift higher from current levels over 6 months.

Bear

$149.00-2.4%

OCF stagnation and macro headwinds compress multiples toward 24x forward earnings, erasing recent gains.

Stop Loss

$150.00

-1.7%

Position Size

1-2%

of portfolio

Risk/Reward

1.4x

base target

Unlock the trade plan

Get entry zones, price targets, stop loss levels, and position sizing for every signal.

Get started View pricing

Get the full picture on ICE

Our AI analyst team runs 5 specialized agents on every stock. Unlock detailed breakdowns, trade plans, and real-time alerts.

Start for $9/mo View pricing

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.