ICE

ICE AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+35

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 8, 2026

conviction

Bullish(medium)

The early termination of premerger waiting periods reduces regulatory friction, directly benefiting ICE's market infrastructure services. Strong bullish options flows ($25.2M in 48 hours) and a 16.5% analyst price target upside ($182) suggest short-to-medium-term momentum. While QoQ net income and cash flow declines pose risks, the regulatory tailwind and institutional positioning justify a conviction boost.

+51

+50

+35

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentNeutral

+20

Gross profit growth (+11.8% QoQ) and 4/4 quarters of EPS beats indicate operational resilience, but QoQ -57.4% net income and -71.6% operating cash flow declines signal liquidity risks. Analysts target $182 (16.5% upside) suggests valuation appeal despite mixed cash flow trends.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeBusiness — significant changes
Filing ChangeMda — moderate changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeMda — significant changes
Filing ChangeMda — significant changes
EarningsEPS beat: $2.35 vs $2.28 est (+2.9%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $182
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 1 strong buy, 15 buy, 3 hold, 0 sell, 0 strong sell

Institutional AgentNeutral

One institution (Washington Trust Advisors) added two new micro-positions in ICE during Q1 2026, but the $0M total value and 0.0% portfolio allocation changes suggest negligible conviction. No consistent trend or follow-through from other institutions.

Sources

13F HoldingWashington Trust Advisors, Inc. (CIK 0001900099): 236 shares ($37K) +236 [NEW]
13F HoldingWashington Trust Advisors, Inc. (CIK 0001900099): 167 shares ($26K) +167 [NEW]

Options AgentBullish

+60

Bullish positioning dominates with $25.2M in bullish sweeps and net $25M bullish flow in 48 hours, while OI increased +146K over

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 10.0% percentile, IV/HV ratio 0.98

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Expression status: tradable

This signal passed the expression gate and has a trade plan attached.

Policy linkage: direct company evidenceMechanism quality: specific

Trade Plan

Live Return

$155.81-0.2%

Entry: $156.11 · 4d elapsed / 90d horizon

Tracking

Entry Zone

In entry zone

$150.00

$160.00

Valid until Jun 15, 2026

Price Targets (90-day)

Bull

$182.00+16.8%

Analyst price target and options flow suggest upside potential from M&A-driven volume growth.

Base

$175.00+12.3%

Mid-range target balances regulatory tailwinds with conservative cash flow assumptions.

Bear

$145.00-6.9%

Stop loss below $150 would invalidate thesis, reflecting liquidity risks and regulatory execution delays.

Stop Loss

$145.00

-6.9%

Position Size

2-3%

of portfolio

Risk/Reward

2.0x

base target

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.