MA AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+100

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 11, 2026

conviction

Bullish(high)

Mastercard demonstrates persistent fundamental strength with 3/4 Q3 EPS beats and 28.6% analyst price target upside. Institutional accumulation by 18 entities across 5 quarters and 32 new positions confirms capital inflows. Options flow shows $20.0M in call sweeps vs $7.7M in puts, with ATM call mispricing at 6.5% indicating structural demand.

+93

+100

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBullish

+60

Consistent Q3 EPS beats (3/4 quarters) and 28.6% analyst price target upside indicate strong fundamentals and valuation potential

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
Filing ChangeMda — moderate changes
Filing ChangeBusiness — moderate changes
EarningsEPS beat: $4.60 vs $4.53 est (+1.5%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $637
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 1 strong buy, 37 buy, 2 hold, 0 sell, 0 strong sell

Institutional AgentBullish

+58

Institutional accumulation detected: 18 institutions tracked across 5 quarters. 32 new positions initiated. Institutional accumulation streak: 5 consecutive quarters.

Sources

13F HoldingLORING WOLCOTT & COOLIDGE FIDUCIARY ADVISORS LLP/MA (CIK 0000932974): 1373270 shares ($684794K) +1373270 [NEW]
13F HoldingDANSKE BANK A/S (CIK 0000800177): 453730 shares ($238920K) +453730 [NEW]
13F HoldingDANSKE BANK A/S (CIK 0000800177): 435968 shares ($215280K) +435968 [NEW]
13F HoldingDANSKE BANK A/S (CIK 0000800177): 355108 shares ($156659K) +355108 [NEW]
13F HoldingNISA INVESTMENT ADVISORS, LLC (CIK 0000937615): 254971 shares ($127398K) +254971 [NEW]

Options AgentBullish

+45

Bullish flow dominates with $20.0M in call sweeps vs $7.7M in puts, while open interest has risen +734K over 21 days. IV remains compressed at 25.6% (26.1% percentile) with neutral skew, but ATM calls show 6.5% mispricing suggesting call demand.

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 26.1% percentile, IV/HV ratio 1.04

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Trade Plan

Live Return

$497.81+0.5%

Entry: $495.48 · 1d elapsed / 180d horizon

Tracking

Entry Zone

In entry zone

$490.00

$500.00

Valid until Jun 11, 2026

Price Targets (180-day)

Bull

$550.00+10.5%

28.6% analyst price target upside with 6-month horizon

Base

$530.00+6.5%

Mean reversion to 52-week high of $516 with 5% buffer

Bear

$470.00-5.6%

52-week low of $468 with 2-quarter earnings miss trigger

Stop Loss

$470.00

-5.6%

Position Size

3-5%

of portfolio

Risk/Reward

1.4x

base target

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.