MO AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+19

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 11, 2026

conviction

Bullish(low)

Altria's institutional buying (Truist/Nisa added $176M) and bullish options positioning (0.31 put/call ratio, 21-day OI +1.597M) suggest short-term upside despite weak QoQ fundamentals. The $56 analyst target reflects overcautious sentiment, while underpriced volatility (IV30D 22.7% vs. HV30D 30.4%) creates near-term momentum potential.

+11

+18

+19

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBearish

-45

Gross profit fell 75.9% QoQ despite 7.9% YoY growth, indicating severe near-term operational issues. Analysts target $56 (-17.1% downside) with 9B/11H/3S sentiment. EPS beat in 2/4 quarters suggests inconsistent execution.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — significant changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — significant changes
EarningsEPS beat: $1.32 vs $1.28 est (+2.8%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $56
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 9 buy, 11 hold, 3 sell, 0 strong sell

Institutional AgentBullish

+45

Institutions added 149 new holders while maintaining a 2-quarter bullish trend, with Truist and Nisa initiating $176M+ in new positions. The 33.4% QoQ value decline likely reflects price action rather than distribution, as share counts for top new holders remained flat (0.0% ownership change).

Sources

13F HoldingGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC (GS, GSCE, GS-PA, GS-PC, GS-PD) (CIK 0000886982): 6624629 shares ($381976K) +6624629 [NEW]
13F HoldingHSBC HOLDINGS PLC (CIK 0000873630): 3046115 shares ($175638K) +3046115 [NEW]
13F HoldingGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC (GS, GSCE, GS-PA, GS-PC, GS-PD) (CIK 0000886982): 2201456 shares ($126935K) +2201456 [NEW]
13F HoldingTRUIST FINANCIAL CORP (TFC, TFC-PI, TFC-PO, TFC-PR) (CIK 0000092230): 1839441 shares ($121384K) +1839441 [NEW]
13F HoldingTRUIST FINANCIAL CORP (TFC, TFC-PI, TFC-PO, TFC-PR) (CIK 0000092230): 835709 shares ($55148K) +835709 [NEW]

Options AgentBullish

+55

Bullish positioning dominates with 0.31 put/call volume ratio, $34.8M in bullish sweeps, and +1.597M 21-day OI increase. IV30D (22.7%) is 25% below HV30D (30.4%) suggesting underpriced volatility relative to recent price action.

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 60.0% percentile, IV/HV ratio 0.75

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.