NXPI

NXPI AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+19

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 11, 2026

conviction

Bullish(low)

Institutional accumulation (9 new positions) and bullish options positioning (14 call sweeps, 0.13 put/call ratio) align with regulatory tailwinds from updated FMVSS standards (March 16) likely to boost automotive semiconductor demand. While insider selling and a $284 analyst target below current price present near-term risks, the 55% revenue contribution from automotive and 40.4% YoY operating cash flow growth suggest medium-term upside.

+15

+17

+19

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentNeutral

Gross profit and operating cash flow show strong YoY growth (14.6% and 40.4%) but sequential declines (-73.4% and -71.9%) indicate near-term volatility. Analysts are neutral-to-bullish (22B/6H/1S) but target price ($284) is 4% below current price. Risks include QoQ deterioration and uncertain demand drivers.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — major revision
Filing ChangeMda — minor changes
AI AnalysisLLM analysis: escalating, tone shift -1.0
EarningsEPS beat: $3.05 vs $3.01 est (+1.4%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $284
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 22 buy, 6 hold, 1 sell, 0 strong sell

Insider AgentBearish

-65

Insiders sold $1.977M across 3 transactions in 90 days with 0 buys, including coordinated selling by 2 executives in one week. CEO exercised shares but no net buying occurred, suggesting weak conviction.

Sources

Insider TradeHardy Andrew exercise 4880 shares
Insider TradeSotomayor Rafael exercise 1095 shares
Insider TradeJensen Christopher L sell 4576 shares
Insider TradeHardy Andrew sell 5289 shares
Insider TradeMicallef Andrew sell 1000 shares

Institutional AgentBullish

+44

Institutional accumulation detected: 5 institutions tracked across 1 quarters. 9 new positions initiated.

Sources

13F HoldingLORING WOLCOTT & COOLIDGE FIDUCIARY ADVISORS LLP/MA (CIK 0000932974): 961789 shares ($196560K) +961789 [NEW]
13F HoldingCENTRAL BANK & TRUST CO (CIK 0001175954): 10737 shares ($2113K) +10737 [NEW]
13F HoldingLORING WOLCOTT & COOLIDGE FIDUCIARY ADVISORS LLP/MA (CIK 0000932974): 5600 shares ($1144K) +5600 [NEW]
13F HoldingFIRST HORIZON CORP (FHN, FHN-PC, FHN-PE, FHN-PF, FHN-PH) (CIK 0000036966): 1836 shares ($361K) +1836 [NEW]
13F HoldingFirst Bank & Trust (CIK 0001692632): 1582 shares ($311K) +1582 [NEW]

Options AgentBullish

+52

Bullish positioning dominates with 14 call sweeps ($14.8M) in 48h and 0.13 put/call volume ratio. Elevated OI growth (+293K 30d) and IV30D at 44.9% (66.7% percentile) suggest near-term upside bias.

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 66.7% percentile, IV/HV ratio 0.61

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Not tradable yet

The policy evidence is too sector-level and does not tie cleanly enough to this company.

Policy linkage: sector-only evidenceMechanism quality: specificPolicy evidence excluded from conviction

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.