ORCL

ORCL AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+70

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 6, 2026

conviction

Bullish(high)

Oracle's consistent earnings performance (3/4 quarters beating estimates) and robust analyst ratings (28/34 'Buy' calls) with a $262 target (41.6% upside) support a bullish thesis. Strong forensic accounting and bullish options positioning reinforce near-term momentum.

+70

+71

+70

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBullish

+60

Oracle shows consistent earnings strength (3/4 quarters beat) with last quarter's 3.1% EPS beat. Analysts target $262 (41.6% upside) with 28/34 'Buy' ratings. Clean forensic accounting and no material flags support credibility.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
Filing ChangeMda — significant changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — major revision
Filing ChangeBusiness — major revision
EarningsEPS beat: $1.79 vs $1.74 est (+3.1%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $262
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 28 buy, 5 hold, 1 sell, 0 strong sell

Institutional AgentBullish

+10

Three institutions added new positions in Q1 2026, but total value ($5M) is trivial for ORCL's scale. Conviction is low due to 0.0% percentage changes and lack of follow-through from prior quarters.

Sources

13F HoldingFirst Financial Bank - Trust Division (CIK 0001315339): 18812 shares ($2767K) +18812 [NEW]
13F HoldingFirst Financial Bank - Trust Division (CIK 0001315339): 8508 shares ($1251K) +8508 [NEW]
13F HoldingWashington Trust Advisors, Inc. (CIK 0001900099): 2057 shares ($302K) +2057 [NEW]
13F HoldingWashington Trust Advisors, Inc. (CIK 0001900099): 1603 shares ($235K) +1603 [NEW]
13F HoldingLVM CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LTD/MI (CIK 0001053054): 5111 shares ($752K) +5111 [NEW]

Options AgentBullish

+55

Bullish positioning dominates with 7 net bullish

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 94.4% percentile, IV/HV ratio 0.98

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Expression status: tradable

This signal passed the expression gate and has a trade plan attached.

Policy linkage: sector-only evidenceMechanism quality: absentPolicy evidence excluded from conviction

Trade Plan

Live Return

$186.83+0.8%

Entry: $185.35 · 6d elapsed / 30d horizon

Tracking

Entry Zone

In entry zone

$180.00

$190.00

Valid until Jun 6, 2026

Price Targets (30-day)

Bull

$262.00+40.2%

Analyst consensus price target with 41.6% upside potential

Base

$230.00+23.1%

Conservative estimate based on 20% re-rating to forward P/E

Bear

$170.00-9.0%

Support level below recent breakout range with technical breakdown implications

Stop Loss

$175.00

-6.3%

Position Size

3-5%

of portfolio

Risk/Reward

4.5x

base target

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.