PFE

PFE AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+41

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 11, 2026

conviction

Bullish(medium)

Institutional accumulation of $3.46B in Q1 2026 by high-quality buyers (Fisher, CalPERS, Artemis) and bullish options positioning (0.29 put/call ratio, 16 bullish sweeps) suggest strong near-term conviction. While fundamentals show 77.7% QoQ cash flow decline and stretched valuation, the 19.9% analyst target upside and institutional flow dynamics outweigh near-term risks.

+20

+40

+41

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBearish

-30

Operating cash flow declined 77.7% QoQ despite 12% YoY growth, signaling near-term liquidity stress. Management's 0% guidance hit rate and 0/100 credibility raise execution risks. Valuation appears stretched with 19.9% analyst target upside but lacks catalysts.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — significant changes
Filing ChangeMda — moderate changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — significant changes
Filing ChangeMda — minor changes
EarningsEPS beat: $0.75 vs $0.72 est (+3.5%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $31
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 11 buy, 15 hold, 3 sell, 0 strong sell
Call TranscriptEarnings call sentiment: 0.80, deflections: 0
CredibilityManagement credibility: 0/100

Institutional AgentBullish

+70

Three high-quality institutions added $3.46B in new positions (Fisher +$2.95B, CalPERS +$304M, Artemis +$207M) in Q1 2026, representing 71% of total institutional holdings. All new entries suggest strong accumulation with significant conviction.

Sources

13F HoldingFisher Asset Management, LLC (CIK 0000850529): 104964427 shares ($2947401K) +104964427 [NEW]
13F HoldingCALIFORNIA PUBLIC EMPLOYEES RETIREMENT SYSTEM (CIK 0000919079): 10840185 shares ($304392K) +10840185 [NEW]
13F HoldingArtemis Investment Management LLP (CIK 0001535385): 7392508 shares ($207581K) +7392508 [NEW]
13F HoldingAustralianSuper Pty Ltd (CIK 0001694164): 4980592 shares ($139855K) +4980592 [NEW]
13F HoldingLansforsakringar Fondforvaltning AB (publ) (CIK 0002059323): 3158825 shares ($88699K) +3158825 [NEW]

Options AgentBullish

+60

Bullish positioning dominates with 0.29 put/call volume ratio, 16 bullish sweeps ($43.1M), and +13162K 21-day OI trend. Unusual call volume (16 contracts >3x OI) suggests accumulation, while neutral skew and 23.1% IV30 (22.5% 52W percentile) indicate affordable volatility levels for directional plays.

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 22.5% percentile, IV/HV ratio 1.16

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Not tradable yet

The policy signal lacks a specific causal mechanism, so it should not be treated as expression-ready.

Policy linkage: inferred company relevanceMechanism quality: vaguePolicy evidence excluded from conviction

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.