QCOM

QCOM AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+43

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 12, 2026

conviction

Bullish(medium)

QCOM is trading at $237.53 despite a $174 analyst target (-26.7% downside), suggesting overvaluation relative to fundamentals. Strong cash flow ($7.4B, +49.3% QoQ) and 4/4 earnings beats do not justify current pricing. Institutional accumulation ($637M new positions) contrasts with a large (>25%) institutional sell-off risk.

+10

+30

+43

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBullish

+60

QCOM shows strong cash flow generation ($7.4B, +49.3% QoQ) and consistent earnings execution (4/4 quarters beat). Valuation appears attractive with analyst target $174 (-26.7% downside) despite clean accounting and solid financial health.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — minor changes
Filing ChangeMda — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — minor changes
EarningsEPS beat: $2.65 vs $2.61 est (+1.4%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $174
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 10 buy, 18 hold, 3 sell, 0 strong sell

Institutional AgentBullish

+50

Three high-quality institutions added new positions totaling $637M in Q4 2026, including CalPERS ($415M) and Fisher Asset Management ($138M). No large percentage-based increases were reported, but the dollar size of new entries suggests accumulation. One large (>25%) decrease remains a near-term risk.

Sources

13F HoldingCALIFORNIA PUBLIC EMPLOYEES RETIREMENT SYSTEM (CIK 0000919079): 3224104 shares ($415200K) +3224104 [NEW]
13F HoldingFisher Asset Management, LLC (CIK 0000850529): 1077311 shares ($138736K) +1077311 [NEW]
13F HoldingTRUIST FINANCIAL CORP (TFC, TFC-PI, TFC-PO, TFC-PR) (CIK 0000092230): 657915 shares ($84726K) +657915 [NEW]
13F HoldingLORING WOLCOTT & COOLIDGE FIDUCIARY ADVISORS LLP/MA (CIK 0000932974): 660654 shares ($84603K) +660654 [NEW]
13F HoldingTorrey Growth & Income Advisors (CIK 0002087822): 442890 shares ($56406K) +442890 [NEW]

Options AgentNeutral

-1

Options flow analysis: IV at 88.5% percentile (52-week). P/C ratio: 0.61. Detected unusual volume activity (volume > 3x open interest). ATM mispricing detected (call: 8.0%, put: 19.5%).

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 88.5% percentile, IV/HV ratio 1.12

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Not tradable yet

The policy signal lacks a specific causal mechanism, so it should not be treated as expression-ready.

Policy linkage: inferred company relevanceMechanism quality: absentPolicy evidence excluded from conviction

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.