RMBS

RMBS AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

-19

Direction mix

0 bullish1 bearish

May 10, 2026

conviction

Bearish(low)

Rambus faces severe near-term deterioration with QoQ declines of -74.5% in gross profit and -76.9% in operating cash flow. The analyst price target of $67 implies ~50% downside from $129.25. While institutional accumulation and bullish options positioning suggest some near-term support, the fundamentals (driven by operational weakness) outweigh these positives, creating a bearish bias with low confidence due to mixed signals.

-29

-24

-19

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBearish

-40

QoQ declines in Gross Profit (-74.5%) and Operating Cash Flow (-76.9%) indicate severe near-term deterioration. Analyst price target ($67) implies ~50% downside from current price.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — significant changes
Filing ChangeMda — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
EarningsEPS miss: $0.63 vs $0.67 est (-5.1%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $67
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 14 buy, 7 hold, 0 sell, 0 strong sell

Insider AgentBearish

-40

No insider buying vs 1 sell ($205K) in 90 days with last transaction dated 2026 (likely data error). Cluster buying on Mar 30 showed 2 executives but no follow-through. Zero recent purchases indicates weak conviction.

Sources

Insider TradeRao Meera sell 2972 shares
Insider TradeAllen John K tax 1131 shares
Insider TradeAllen John K award 2779 shares
Insider TradeSTANG ERIC B award 2223 shares

Institutional AgentBullish

+58

Institutional accumulation detected: 7 institutions tracked across 4 quarters. 10 new positions initiated. Institutional accumulation streak: 4 consecutive quarters.

Sources

13F HoldingDANSKE BANK A/S (CIK 0000800177): 32846 shares ($1736K) +32846 [NEW]
13F HoldingChina Universal Asset Management Co., Ltd. (CIK 0001906594): 6000 shares ($516K) +6000 [NEW]
13F HoldingDANSKE BANK A/S (CIK 0000800177): 8623 shares ($506K) +8623 [NEW]
13F HoldingNISA INVESTMENT ADVISORS, LLC (CIK 0000937615): 4876 shares ($419K) +4876 [NEW]
13F HoldingDANSKE BANK A/S (CIK 0000800177): 9358 shares ($395K) +9358 [NEW]

Options AgentBullish

+60

Bullish positioning dominates with 0.20 put/call volume ratio, $10.5M net bullish flow in 48h, and 160K OI expansion over 20 days. IV30D (75.2%) lags HV30D (113.1%) suggesting volatility contraction, but 52W percentile neutrality implies room for mean reversion.

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 51.4% percentile, IV/HV ratio 0.67

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Not tradable yet

The policy evidence is too sector-level and does not tie cleanly enough to this company.

Policy linkage: sector-only evidenceMechanism quality: absentPolicy evidence excluded from conviction

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.