UAL

UAL AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

Unlock full UAL analysis View pricing

Signals

Avg conviction

-5

Direction mix

0 bullish0 bearish

May 10, 2026

conviction

Neutral(low)

UAL faces near-term headwinds from O'Hare capacity restrictions (risking 2-3% Q2 2024 revenue erosion) and $50M-$100M annual maintenance costs from Airbus Airworthiness Directives. These policy-driven costs and operational constraints offset strong YoY cash flow growth ($4.8B, +29.4%) and 4Q earnings beats, creating a short-term bearish imbalance despite long-term fundamental resilience.

-45

-16

-5

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentNeutral

+15

UAL shows strong YoY operating cash flow growth ($4.8B, +29.4%) and 4Q earnings beats, but QoQ net income (-79.2%) and cash flow (-43.1%) declines signal near-term risks. Analysts target $121 (21.3% upside) despite filing discrepancies.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeMda — significant changes
AI AnalysisLLM analysis: stable, tone shift 0.0
EarningsEPS beat: $1.19 vs $1.08 est (+10.0%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $121
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 24 buy, 1 hold, 0 sell, 0 strong sell

Institutional AgentNeutral

Institutional activity shows minimal conviction with a single new position (CX Institutional) reporting $0M in holdings and a negligible 0.0% share change. No meaningful accumulation/distribution patterns emerge from the data.

Sources

13F HoldingCX Institutional (CIK 0001737089): 3749 shares ($345K) +3749 [NEW]

Options AgentBearish

-30

Bearish flow dominates recent activity with $3.37M net bearish sweeps in 48 hours despite low 10th percentile IV. Unusual put volume (11 contracts) and neutral skew suggest asymmetric downside positioning without volatility premium demand.

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 10.0% percentile, IV/HV ratio 0.96

Unlock agent-level analysis

See exactly what each AI agent found — forensic accounting flags, insider clusters, institutional shifts, and more.

Checking access…View pricing

No trade plan available

The system did not produce a valid trade setup for this signal.

Policy linkage: direct company evidenceMechanism quality: specific

Get the full picture on UAL

Our AI analyst team runs 5 specialized agents on every stock. Unlock detailed breakdowns, trade plans, and real-time alerts.

Start for $9/mo View pricing

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.