UBER

UBER AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

+17

Direction mix

1 bullish0 bearish

May 11, 2026

conviction

Bullish(low)

Pending FLSA regulations pose a $1.5-2.5B annual labor cost risk, but bullish options positioning (14 call sweeps vs. 6 put sweeps) and undervalued volatility suggest short-term volatility trading. Institutional accumulation of $22M in Q1 indicates tentative interest, though insufficient to offset regulatory headwinds.

+31

+22

+17

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentNeutral

+15

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 100/100 (0 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — moderate changes
Filing ChangeMda — moderate changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — minor changes
Filing ChangeBusiness — moderate changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — significant changes
EarningsEPS beat: $0.72 vs $0.71 est (+0.8%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $108
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 1 strong buy, 31 buy, 4 hold, 0 sell, 0 strong sell
Call TranscriptEarnings call sentiment: 0.85, deflections: 0
CredibilityManagement credibility: 0/100

Institutional AgentNeutral

+20

Four institutions initiated new UBER positions in Q1 2026, but total value ($22M) is small and percentage changes are flat (0.0%). New accumulation suggests tentative interest, but lack of prior trend or large convictions limits upside.

Sources

13F HoldingWashington Trust Advisors, Inc. (CIK 0001900099): 286164 shares ($20583K) +286164 [NEW]
13F HoldingFirst Bank & Trust (CIK 0001692632): 15641 shares ($1125K) +15641 [NEW]
13F HoldingCENTRAL BANK & TRUST CO (CIK 0001175954): 14680 shares ($1055K) +14680 [NEW]
13F HoldingFirst Bank & Trust (CIK 0001692632): 2366 shares ($170K) +2366 [NEW]
13F HoldingSFAM, LLC (CIK 0001713286): 77 shares ($5K) +77 [NEW]

Options AgentBullish

+65

Bullish positioning dominates with 14 call sweeps ($160.6M) vs. 6 put sweeps ($17.75M) in 48h, while IV30D (34.9%) is undervalued vs. HV30D (37.8%). Neutral skew and low 52W IV percentile (0

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 0.0% percentile, IV/HV ratio 0.92

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Expression status: tradable

This signal passed the expression gate and has a trade plan attached.

Policy linkage: direct company evidenceMechanism quality: specific

Trade Plan

Live Return

$76.15+0.9%

Entry: $75.45 · 1d elapsed / 30d horizon

Tracking

Entry Zone

In entry zone

$73.00

$78.00

Valid until Jun 10, 2026

Price Targets (30-day)

Bull

$95.00+24.8%

Options call sweep buying power and IV expansion

Base

$85.00+11.6%

Mean reversion to 52-week high of $83

Bear

$65.00-14.6%

Regulatory cost shock triggering margin sell-off

Stop Loss

$68.00

-10.7%

Position Size

1-2%

of portfolio

Risk/Reward

1.3x

base target

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.