VIAV

VIAV AI Signal Analysis

Multi-agent conviction signals powered by SEC filings, insider trades, institutional holdings, and earnings data.

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Signals

Avg conviction

-10

Direction mix

0 bullish0 bearish

May 12, 2026

conviction

Neutral(low)

VIAV [neutral, low confidence]: Strong gross profit growth (YoY +34.1% to $614M) and consistent EPS beats (4/4 quarters) indicate operational health, but valuation is a concern with analyst target $31 (-44.4% downside). High accounting quality and low flags support reliability. Five insiders executed $6.16M in clustered sales over May 4-7, including CEO KHAYKIN selling 138,576 shares ($7.55M) in two days. Zero insider purchases in 90 days with 0/6 buy/sell ratio. Policy development: Cyber Incident Reporting for Critical Infrastructure Act (CIRCIA) Rulemaking; Town Hall Meetings Institutions added 15 new holders QoQ despite 14.6% total value decline, with 2 large (>25%) new positions from Jennison Associates ($22M combined) and consistent accumulation over 7 quarters. Recent 0.0% share value changes suggest potential price stabilization. Strong bullish positioning evident from 20 call-sweeps ($190.1M net bullish flow in 48h), +667K OI expansion over 21 days, and 0.57 put/call volume ratio. Elevated IV30D (90%) with neutral skew suggests volatility demand without fear premium.

-3

-5

-10

Agent Breakdown

Fundamentals AgentBearish

-45

Strong gross profit growth (YoY +34.1% to $614M) and consistent EPS beats (4/4 quarters) indicate operational health, but valuation is a concern with analyst target $31 (-44.4% downside). High accounting quality and low flags support reliability.

Sources

ForensicForensic score: 90/100 (1 flags)
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
Filing ChangeRisk Factors — minor changes
Filing ChangeFinancial Notes — minor changes
EarningsEPS beat: $0.27 vs $0.24 est (+14.5%)
Analyst TargetAnalyst consensus target: $31
Analyst RatingAnalyst consensus: 0 strong buy, 10 buy, 4 hold, 1 sell, 0 strong sell

Insider AgentBearish

-85

Five insiders executed $6.16M in clustered sales over May 4-7, including CEO KHAYKIN selling 138,576 shares ($7.55M) in two days. Zero insider purchases in 90 days with 0/6 buy/sell ratio.

Sources

Insider TradeKHAYKIN OLEG sell 34024 shares
Insider TradeGilstrap Doug sell 10000 shares
Insider TradeKHAYKIN OLEG sell 104552 shares
Insider TradeMcNab Paul sell 2727 shares
Insider TradeSCRIVANICH LUKE M sell 7258 shares
Insider TradeSiebert Kevin Christopher sell 8255 shares
Insider TradeKHAYKIN OLEG gift 5600 shares

Institutional AgentBullish

+55

Institutions added 15 new holders QoQ despite 14.6% total value decline, with 2 large (>25%) new positions from Jennison Associates ($22M combined) and consistent accumulation over 7 quarters. Recent 0.0% share value changes suggest potential price stabilization.

Sources

13F HoldingGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC (GS, GSCE, GS-PA, GS-PC, GS-PD) (CIK 0000886982): 1449298 shares ($25826K) +1449298 [NEW]
13F HoldingJENNISON ASSOCIATES LLC (CIK 0000053417): 533126 shares ($17742K) +533126 [NEW]
13F HoldingGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC (GS, GSCE, GS-PA, GS-PC, GS-PD) (CIK 0000886982): 721615 shares ($12859K) +721615 [NEW]
13F HoldingFisher Asset Management, LLC (CIK 0000850529): 379600 shares ($12633K) +379600 [NEW]
13F HoldingPEAK6 LLC (CIK 0001389958): 668700 shares ($11916K) +668700 [NEW]

Options AgentBullish

+70

Strong bullish positioning evident from 20 call-sweeps ($190.1M net bullish flow in 48h), +667K OI expansion over 21 days, and 0.57 put/call volume ratio. Elevated IV30D (90%) with neutral skew suggests volatility demand without fear premium.

Sources

IV DataIV metrics: 80.5% percentile, IV/HV ratio 1.04

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Not tradable yet

The policy evidence is too sector-level and does not tie cleanly enough to this company.

Policy linkage: sector-only evidenceMechanism quality: specificPolicy evidence excluded from conviction

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.